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THE TIPSTERS
 

Weekend Wager Column - 13/03/2009

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THE WEEKEND WAGER
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Welcome to this the latest 'Weekend Wager' free betting column produced by Terry Allen from the Secret Betting Club and Money Maker Review service.

I work as part of the team at the Secret Betting Club where we uncover exactly which experts, systems and tipsters you should follow to make money betting. As well as proofing dozens of tipsters we also include monthly articles on professional gambling tips and betting strategies. Every article and review we put together is also listed at our new member's website Money Maker Review.

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1. Terry Says

By the time you will be reading this, the big event over at Cheltenham this week will be over for another year and the mass clear-up will begin. I have spoken to many people this week who tell me that it is the only time they ever bet on the horses, although with the massively competitive racing, it aint really the best place for the novice!

My own Chelters has gone pretty well with a big collection on day one thanks to the Tipping Legends boys, who picked up a big each way double result (both horses placed at 20/1). Initially the bookie I placed it with – William Hill, even had the nerve to settle it as a loss but one terse phone call later and they realised the errors of their ways. Hills took a major hit on this one with many Secret Betting Club members on this bet with them, and I reckon they saw a loss of over 50k at the very least. Another victory over the bookies for our members.

In other news this week, I was surprised to see an email from 5 Star Tipster explaining that he is now back at the helm of 5 Star Tipster. Excuse me if I don't prepare the fattened calf for the return of the prodigal son. The 5 Star Tipster website was sold only a few months ago for £22,150 as Jamie had decided to leave the horse racing tipster game for good. Jamie believes he's cracked it this time, but considering the way his 5 Star Tipster & 125 Bets services went, I won't be holding my breath. Click the links to read more about them via our Money Maker Review website.

As ever be sure to check out our opinion on any service before joining, there are lots of good guys out there but you just have to be careful at times.

Until next Friday…

Terry Allen

2. The Next Week In Betting

A full domestic card to get our teeth stuck into this weekend as we enter the last 10 games of the season in the Premier league. After their midweek blitzing of Real Madrid, Liverpool take their extremely unlikely title hopes over to Old Trafford for a game Sky are desperately trying to bill as a title decider. With the best will in the world, Liverpool are as likely to win the title from here as Jan Molby is to win the slimmer of the year competition with weight watchers. I can’t remember the last time Sir Alex’s men were as big as 1.96 with Extrabet to win at home and that looks value to me.

Blackburn fresh from seeing off Fulham at midweek will surely go to keep things as tight as possible when they visit Arsenal this weekend and a couple of bets look value to me. Big Sam will have his team ready to kick lumps out of the Arse, and while I can’t have them at 8/1 to win with Hills, the +1 handicap with Ladbrokes at 2.06 appeals as does under 2.5 goals at 1.83 with Extrabet.

One market of note that’s worth touching on is Premier league relegation, and I must say I like the look of perennial crisis club Newcastle to go down at 15/8 with Betfred. I am going to join them for the drop with Portsmouth at 3/1 with Bet365 as I think one of these 2 will really struggle to stay up. The Geordies face Hull in a must win game on Saturday before 2 tough games against Arsenal and Chelsea, whilst Pompey are being managed by a guy who was last seen at Rushden & Diamonds. It will be a shame if either team do go down as they have great support but I sense a touch of value here.

The oval ball returns with the penultimate round of games in the six-nations where Wales and Ireland should win fairly easily with the former as short as 1/14 to win away at Italy and the latter 4/11 best priced to take the spoils at Murrayfield. The most competitive game will come on Sunday where England host the French and the bookies have the visitors as the narrowest of favourites at 10/11 best priced with Boylesports. With such short odds on some of the games, handicaps are go for 6 nations bets this weekend. The Italians have not been impressive at all this tournament so the -27 handicap at 11/4 with Hills on the Welsh to smash them appeals.

More cricket action than you can shake a stick at lately with the one day games between West Indies and England to feast upon next week. Starting off with a 20-20 game on Sunday in a format I prefer to trade on, there is also a 5 match ODI series that I have a slight preference for the away team in. If Cricket was judged on points like a boxing game then England would have taken the test series and they have the makings of a good one-day team. I am having a sneaky piece of the 10/11 with Boylesports on Strauss’s men to edge the series.

Good luck with whatever you’re having a punt on this week.

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3. Tipping Legends Column

The Tipping Legends are 2 horse racing specialists who both have an in-depth knowledge of the sport and will be supplying a full rundown of some of the weekend's feature races and betting angles. These guys know their stuff when it comes to racing, ignore at your peril.
 
CHELTENHAM SO FAR
 
I am penning these few words late on Thursday evening with Friday and the Gold Cup still to come. Next week we will have a look at the stats I put up over the last 2 weeks and see how they fared. Without doing a sales pitch, we have had an excellent meeting so far with no less than six winners all at decent prices and hopefully more to come tomorrow.
 
We always perform well at Cheltenham, and indeed at all the big meetings throughout the year, both National Hunt & Flat. The reason is simple, we always look for value, and this can always be found at such meetings for two major reasons. Firstly the market is strong and it takes really large sums to alter a price substantially, and secondly, many of the favourites are far too short.
 
I do believe that much of the hype surrounding the "bankers" is false and is created by the bookmakers to create false situations. Just look at the so called good things beaten so far with in-particular Binocular finishing 3rd in the Champion Hurdle at 6/4!  I just find it incredible that he was as short as 11/8 for the last 3 months!  Was he that short due to the sums invested or perhaps earlier liabilities at prices up to 6/1? Neither I suspect, but one thing is for sure he was never any value and as a result the horse that wins goes off at 22/1.  Now that is value, as in my book, Punjabi was a 10/1 shot at best.
 
Elsewhere, Kasbah Bliss was sent off odds at 10/11 for the World Hurdle. Madness! Odds on for a horse that had not won at Cheltenham and ridden by a jockey who had even less experience of Cheltenham. Of more importance, he had no experience of race riding against the best NH jockeys in the world, like McCoy, Walsh, Johnson, Geraghty etc. It was good news for us though as the winner, Big Bucks returns at 6/1 when he is a 7/2 chance at best in my book
 
Cousin Vinny was sent off at 9/4 for the Supreme Novices Hurdle despite falling in his previous race when not even under pressure. We all know that if your hurdling or jumping is suspect, then life will be tough at Cheltenham. Realistically he was a 4/1 shot for this race, but because he was so short, the next 6 in the betting are sent off at prices between 7/1 and 12/1. If you take the view that the favourite is too short and the winner is highly likely to come from the fancied horses then you are getting real value.
 
Voy Por Ustedes is another odds on favourite (4/5) to be turned over. Of course he should have gone off favourite but not odds on, maybe 6/4 to 15/8. Imperial Commander had always looked a Cheltenham horse (has the form to back that up) and should have been a 7/2 shot (SP 6/1) once it was clear that the Twiston Davies stable were back in form (Tricky Trickster won the previous day).
 
Sounds like I am being clever with hindsight, but I did warn you to be wary of the short (false) priced favourites at Cheltenham.  We did not tip any of these favourites of course and managed to find two of the winners that beat them. The only "good thing” to win so far is Master Minded who is simply something else, and I think his starting price of 4/11 was rather generous!
 
By the time you read this the final day will be over. As I write (1.00 am Friday morning) Kauto Star is available at 2/1. Is that too short? Yes of course it is! I am not saying he won’t win, but no horse that was placed the previous year has ever won the Gold Cup the following year. Kauto can also make jumping errors and that can be costly and whilst I think he may win, I could only back him at 11/4 - 3/1 which is his true price in my book. There are huge doubts surrounding Denman who surely would not be 6/1 if he was straight, so some excellent value to be found elsewhere.
 
To summarise, I really believe that the bookies shorten up most of the favourites weeks before the event without taking the bets to reflect the price. They then look to lay these horses in the last few days before the Festival. Who backed Kasbah Bliss to shorten in to such a price weeks before the race? JP McManus perhaps.
 
Hope you have had an enjoyable, profitable and healthy Festival. Roll on Aintree and the Grand National and our next Special and yet more burning of the midnight oil!

Visit The Tipping Legends Website
Read our review of the Tipping Legends service 

 

4. The Winabobatoo Weekender

Winabobatoo are English Premier League, Football League and Scottish Premier betting experts. Using their own excellent football system to often 'Win a bob or two' for their members, they are sharing one of their 'star' bets every week with us. Star bets are their best rated, best value bets and worth following in with a few bob of your own.

Last weekend I had to give you a “Play Away” system bet because there weren’t any “Away Form System” bets. I’d originally intended to give you an “Away Form System” bet from now until the end of the season. Anyway, Peterborough won for us at 11/8. The “Play Away” system found 2 more winners for us in midweek from 4 bets with Torquay beating Altrincham (13/10) and Bristol Rovers beating Hereford (13/8).

 

We’ll return to the “Away Form System” for this weekend. We had one winner from two bets midweek from this system, with Southend beating Brighton at 9/5. Usually, I have to choose which one of the games I’m going to give you, and live in fear of ignoring a winner and giving you a loser. This week there is only one such case, so no dilemma arises!

 

Bournemouth are scrapping for their lives at the bottom of League Two, but that is solely due to the points deduction they had at the start of the season. They would be very safe had that not happened. They are taking on Macclesfield who have been very vulnerable at home all season. All my ratings give the advantage to Bournemouth, so they are the recommended bet.

 

The bad news is that the original price of 7/4 has now disappeared, which was probably partially due to my members betting on the game yesterday, but 13/8 is still available with BetFred and SkyBet.

 

Have a bet on Bournemouth to beat Macclesfield at 13/8 (2.63) available with BetFred, and SkyBet

Good luck with your betting.

Mike Lindley (www.winabobatoo.co.uk )

Visit The Winabobatoo Website
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5. Skeeve's Non-League

Skeeve is our resident Non-League betting expert who will be sharing with you his best advice for this weekend's domestic non-league card. What Skeeve doesn't know about all things semi-pro aint worth knowing and the bookies hate it as lets face it they know next-to nothing about football at this level.

 

 

Hi everybody,

 

Another winning bet last weekend, 8th in a row, this is getting ridiculous:

 

FREE

PICKS

STAKED

RETURNED

W-V-L

PROFIT

ROI

 

17

76

110.48

13-1-3

+34.48

145.3%

 

The non-league season is in it's final stage, only a month and a half and play-offs to go. The membership and the waiting list are both closed for the rest of the season, but everyone who got on the waiting list until February 28th will get a chance to join in April and reserve a spot for next season that way. Everyone who ends the season as a Skeeve Picks subscriber will be offered a spot for next season and if someone drops out, I'll contact the first guy on the waiting list for next season. If you want to be on the waiting list for next season, feel free to send me an e-mail.

 

14/3/2009

 

BLUE SQUARE SOUTH

 

AD-HOC DRAW-NO-BET: Maidenhead – BASINGSTOKE 2 (5.00 @BoyleSports) 2 units & X (3.75 @Coral) 1 unit

 

I wrote a lot about Maidenhead lately, about their recent departures (best scorer Pacquette, influential winger Binns, defensive midfielder Hinds and second best scorer Newman have all left the building) and uninspired performances (one win in the last six, but only against poor Fisher – 0:2 to Team Bath, 1:0 vs Fisher, 0:0 at Eastleigh, 1:1 vs Thurrock, 1:2 at Chelmsford, 0:1 to Windsor & Eton). They also have some injury problems (standard defender Saroya is out injured, the only remaining winger Smith played 20 minutes against Windsor after being out for quite some time), they've just lost 0:1 to Windsor & Eton (two leagues below BS South) in the Berks & Bucks Senior Cup and their manager has just admitted that they don't have the quality to reach the play-offs. Basingstoke are out of the relegation zone, they only have two defeats in the last nine matches and although both defeats were embarassing (0:3 at St Albans, 0:5 at Hayes), they had some nice wins too (2:0 vs Bromley, 1:1 vs Hayes, 3:2 at Bognor, 2:1 at Team Bath, 0:0 vs Dorchester, 0:3 at St Albans, 1:0 vs Bath City, 0:5 at Hayes, 0:0 vs Welling). Basingstoke are still fighting for their lives, they only have four points more than 20th Thurrock, but they played a match more and their goal-difference is worse than Thurrock's. They should take something from this match at depleted, unmotivated Maidenhead – I expect a low-scoring draw, or a 1:0 win, hopefully Basingstoke's.

 

(4.80 for an away win at Expekt and currently at Betfair btw, 4.75 at Paddy Power, 4.60 at Bwin, 4.50 at Bet365, Blue Square, Coral, Skybet, Sportingbet, StanJames... 3.80 for a draw at Betsafe btw, 3.75 also at Paddy Power, StanJames, Victor Chandler...)

Visit Skeeve's Website

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6. £500 Up for grabs before 5.15pm today!


Yes not a mis-print, win a free £500 bet, but hurry as the offer closes after the off of the last race at Cheltenham today. You can still make bets on events after the last race (e.g. the weekend's football), but the bet has to be placed before 17.15 today.


That jolly nice chap Patrick Power, you know Paddy to his friends, has given us a free £500 bet to do with as we please, um tempting, but rather than me cash it out on Cheltenham, this is up for grabs for all bet72 visitors, just by answering the simple question below.


Question:

What is the address of the Paddy Power offices?

A clue…..It is in Ireland

You want another…..It is in Dublin!

Once you have your answer, email it to info@bet72.com, with the subject “I Want That £500 Free Bet You Feckers” in the title and we will be doing the draw once the fat lady has sung at the end of the last race at Cheltenham today, with the result published on the site immediately after that.

Naturally you will need a Paddy Power account to have the winning bet paid into so if you haven’t got one then do get signed up, hey you will even get a free £25 for doing that and placing your first bet so everyone is a winner!

Remember, you need a Paddy Power account in order to enter the competition.

Hurry, the draw will be made just after the last race of the day, so get your entry in well before that!

 

For more such offers sign-up to our regular Friday Freebie email.

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