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THE TIPSTERS
 

Weekend Wager Column - 16/01/2009

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THE WEEKEND WAGER
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Welcome to this the latest 'Weekend Wager' free betting column produced by Terry Allen from the Secret Betting Club and Money Maker Review service.

I work as part of the team at the Secret Betting Club where we uncover exactly which experts, systems and tipsters you should follow to make money betting. As well as proofing dozens of tipsters we also include monthly articles on professional gambling tips and betting strategies. Every article and review we put together is also listed at our new member's website Money Maker Review.

The Weekend Wager is designed to be your free guide to the forthcoming weekend's betting opportunities and features free betting advice and articles from a number of hand-picked betting experts.

 Keep a look out for The Weekend Wager hitting your inbox's every Friday afternoon.

CONTENTS

1. Terry Says
2. The Next Week In Betting
3. Tipping Legends Column
4. The Winabobatoo Weekender
5. Skeeve's Non-League
6. £25 free bet from WBX

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1. Terry Says

Doom and Gloom are the watch-words for most of us over here in the UK in the current economic slump but some people are still making a profit, and to prove the point, step forward William Hill PLC. In an announcement this week (see here) William Hill’s total gross income has grown 6% in 2008, which just goes to prove not everyone is suffering.

Now, the rumour goes that gambling is one of those industries that actually improves during a recession, although sadly the vast majority of the extra income that comes in will only ever line the bookies (and their shareholders) pockets. Now I like to think that through our work here at the Secret Betting Club we impacted the Hills profit down from 6.1% to 6% solely through our actions! (Humour me!). The point remains though that there is no stopping the good thing a lot of these bookies have going on, and its high time we fought back.

How do we fight back exactly? Well the best way is to avoid their quick fix offers and develop a proper betting strategy to back winners and make an overall profit. You don’t even need huge sums of money or time to do this and let me illustrate this more. I was taking a look at a portfolio of betting services, featuring only 3 of the cheapest (and best) tipsters we recommend here. For a cost of effectively £43 a month for their subscriptions, you could have made £2754 profit over a year, by staking between £10 and £20 on each bet.

Its not exactly rocket science or hard work either. All it takes is knowing who to follow, the best staking plans to maximise profits and the dedication to follow for a year. All of which of course, we do for you via our Secret Betting Club

Whether you are a high stakes roller, lunchtime gambler, weekend only bettor or absolute beginner there is nothing to stop you taking back a slice of the profits bookies like William Hill are making.

Until next Friday…

Terry Allen

2. The Next Week In Betting

The Australian Open gets underway on Monday with Scotland’s very own Andy Murray now 5/2 best priced favourite to win down in sunny Melbourne. He may have the big guns and be in stunning form but to me that’s a short price for a player who has yet to win his first Grand Slam and I wont be taking it.

Rafa Nadal is a large looking 9/2 best priced with Totesport and that appeals in terms of value, whilst last years winner Novak Djokovic is 6/1 with VCbet. The Womens market sees the two Williams sisters dominate market and we have seen Venus come in for support recently, down from 9/2 into 3/1 and at that price it looks a tad too short in terms of value, however much she appeals.

It’s been a cracking few weeks in January so far in terms of football and it only looks like hotting up on that front over the next few months.

We have had Benitez’s outburst, Man City throwing their money around, and not forgetting the week's hottest news - Newcastle have signed Gazza's 7 year old nephew after he scored 22 goals in one 30 minute junior game.

This weekend sees Man Utd, Chelsea and Arsenal with 3 games they would expect to win against Bolton, Stoke & Hull respectively, although the Gooners look to have the hardest task away at Phil Brown’s team who did for them at the Emirates. If you think lightning will strike twice, Hull are a best priced 5/1 with Stan James.

The big clash though is the Merseyside derby at Anfield on Monday night in a game that will go a long way to deciding the title, as Everton are in rare form and will be in need of no motivation to win this one. As always these games are normally quite tight and with Everton’s likely 4-6-0 formation and Liverpool shot-shy at home, it should be no different. Mikel Arteta is in inspired form (take note Mr Wenger!) and scored an absolute diamond of a free-kick last week and he is 18/1 to be first goalscorer with Blue Square and 7/1 anytime goalscorer with Paddy Power.

Elsewhere we have the conclusion of the Snooker Masters although we can assume Ronnie O’Sullivan wont be too bothered about it after his comments this week.

Apparently Max Clifford has offered to step in to no doubt ‘sex up’ the once popular sport. Oh for the days of characters such as Big Bill Werbeniuk who due to a medical condition used to drink 6 pints of lager before each game and then 1 pint for every frame!

Werbeniuk's last recorded professional match was in the preliminary rounds of the 1990 World Championships: a 10-1 defeat to Nigel Bond. In the post-match interview, he declared: “I've had 24 pints of extra strong lager and eight double vodkas and I'm still not drunk.”

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3. Tipping Legends Column

The Tipping Legends are 2 horse racing specialists who both have an in-depth knowledge of the sport and will be supplying a full rundown of some of the weekend's feature races and betting angles. These guys know their stuff when it comes to racing, ignore at your peril.
 
Tomorrow (Saturday) we have two "trial" races for the Cheltenham Festival, and we thought it worth having a look at these.
 
Victor Chandler Chase ( Grade 1 ) at Ascot over 2m 1f
 
This is considered by many to be a trial for the Queen Mother Chase in March. All carry same weight 11st 7lbs.
 
Only 5 runners, headed by the highest rated horse in training, Master Minded trained by Paul Nicholls & ridden by Ruby Walsh.

At level weights, it would seem that he has only to put in a clear round to collect, and the current odds of 2/7 look very generous if you care to back horses at short odds on.Whist I am in no way recommending backing odds on, I really do think his price should be very much shorter, like 1/6 !

There are serious question marks about his 4 rivals in my opinion.

Petit Robin (6/1) was not very impressive last time out, and is capable of making jumping errors. Or Noir de Somoza has come over from France and could be anything ( current price 10/1).

David Pipe's horses are not running well, otherwise this represents decent EW value
Natal is also from the Nicholls yard, but probably 2 stone below Master Minded, ( 25/1)  and Mahogany Blaze surely neds at least 2m 4f these days ( 33/1).

They all collect prize money if they put in a clear round, 1st. £79,000 2nd £30,000  3rd £15000  4th £7000 & 5th £4000. In fact 5th prize is the average first prize for winning a 3 mile chase at the grade 3 tracks!
 
Blue Square Champion Hurdle Trial at Haydock over the extended 2 miles.
 
Eight have been declared for this, where is £45,000 prize money on offer.
 
The market is headed by Snap Tie (11/10) who is currently a 16/1 chance for the Champion in March. Whilst Snap Tie has every chance of winning, I would not recommend backing him, primarily because he must have good ground to be at his best, and he will not be getting that at Haydock tomorrow. In fact, check early in the morning as he may be withdrawn.

The second favourite is Afsoun (9/4) who has tons of ability, but can be very quirky. Has the benefit of AP McCoy in the saddle tomorrow, and McCoy & Henderson are having a fantastic run between them at the moment. Afsoun fell last time out in the race won by Harchibald (Snap Tie second). So 9/4 looks far too short and no value, as he has to give weight all round.

Of the others, Songe always flatters to deceive, and Marcel at 9yr old now may be past his best. (Has won 14 of his 34 races).

An interesting Outsider could be Issaquah, trained by Malcolm Jefferson. Being a mare, she receives 7lb allowance and is a Course & Distance Winner. Well worth watching in this race, as she is entered for the ToteSport Trophy in February where she is currently quoted at 14/1

Good Luck, but above all enjoy your racing.

Visit The Tipping Legends Website
Read our review of the Tipping Legends service 

4. The Winabobatoo Weekender

Winabobatoo are English Premier League, Football League and Scottish Premier betting experts. Using their own excellent football system to often 'Win a bob or two' for their members, they are sharing one of their 'star' bets every week with us. Star bets are their best rated, best value bets and worth following in with a few bob of your own.

After the recent cold snap, there’s every chance we’re going to have a full programme of matches this weekend. The betting opportunities for home wins look a bit thin on the ground with plenty of short-priced games around. In the main, in the way of potential value, they offer little prospect of serious long-term profits.

I aim to better 50% winners with the average odds of the winners in the region of 13/10. Much of the time, it pays to back the better teams who are playing away. This week we will go for Oldham to win at Hereford. Oldham are one of the better teams in League One and Hereford are one of the worst teams in the league. Couple that with Oldham having a very good Winabobatoo Form rating, and it suggests the bookies’ odds are too long.

Bet365 currently have Oldham priced at 10/11 (1.91) but Ladbrokes and Corals are going 6/5 (2.20).

This is a classic example of price being everything. I expect Oldham to win 50% of the time. If we back them at 10/11, and they win 50% of the time we will get back 95.50 points for every 100 points we stake, so we’d make a loss. If we back them at 6/5 (2.20) and they win 50% of the time, we will get 110 points back for every 100 we stake, and make a profit.

The ultimate key to profitable, successful betting is to bet when the odds on offer more than cover the risk: 6/5 does, 10/11 doesn’t!

Have a bet on Oldham to win at Hereford at 6/5 (2.20) available with Ladbrokes and Corals

Good luck with your betting.

Mike Lindley (www.winabobatoo.co.uk )


Interested in Winabobatoo? Well in an exclusive offer, you can save £25 on the cost of Winabobatoo membership if you are a Secret Betting Club subscriber.

Visit The Winabobatoo Website
Read our review of the Winabobatoo service 

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WHO IS THE BEST PERFORMING TIPSTER?

Visit our free Racing Proofing website that lists 30 of the best tipster services in a league table format. Every bet is listed and analysed in 3 months, 6 months, 12 months, proofed and all time rankings.

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5. Skeeve's Non-League

Skeeve is our resident Non-League betting expert who will be sharing with you his best advice for this weekend's domestic non-league card. What Skeeve doesn't know about all things semi-pro aint worth knowing and the bookies hate it as lets face it they know next-to nothing about football at this level.

Hi everybody,

Another busy Friday – and hopefully another profitable Saturday tomorrow. I could write novels about midweek bets, Blue Square's shocking decision regarding the FA Cup match between Droylsden and Chesterfield, but, there will be plenty of time for writing about all these things in June and July – I'd rather focus on the weekend non-league matches and this is one of the more obvious picks for tomorrow.

17/1/2009

BLUE SQUARE SOUTH

Fisher – NEWPORT 2  (2.10 @Skybet) 4 units

Fisher are another non-league team that will have a long season – they did manage to sign a couple of players lately (their transfer embargo has been lifted), but they've also lost some important players.

Newport should have way too much for Fisher's inexperienced squad – Fisher have failed to score a league goal at home since September (0:2 to Hampton, 0:1 to Chelmsford, 0:3 to Thurrock, 0:1 to Bognor, 0:2 to Bromley, 0:3 to Wimbledon). Newport have also lost a couple of players lately, but they've just brought in three new players, they have a superior and more experienced squad, their defence is improving. In addition, they have finally had two consecutive wins (1:0 vs Worcester, 3:1 vs league leaders Chelmsford), Reid scored a hat-trick against mighty Chelmsford and I can't see them losing this match – I just hope it's not going to be another unlucky draw.

 

(2.10 also at Bet365 and Bwin, 2.08 currently at Betfair btw, 2.05 at Paddy Power...)

Visit Skeeve's Website

Read our review of Skeeve's service 

6. Everyone needs a backup!

We have said it before, it is always good to have a backup and that goes for betting exchanges too.  So why not have the full monty of Betdaq, Betfair and now WBX accounts.

 All our risk free betting offers involve laying off the risk on a betting exchange, so why not line up some bonuses on that side too!

There has never been a better time to grab one as WBX are offering a fantastic free £25 bet once you have won / lost £100, but don’t worry we can make this all risk free.  The bets could not be simpler as we can announce the WBX has been added to Oddsmatcher too, so it is all point and click profits!  

Also being a betting exchange then the odds will be are very close to the other exchanges meaning you can get maximum profits very easily. So whenever we say “lay off the bet on betfair”, remember to check what current deals are also being offered with betdaq and WBX.

Get in touch if you need any ideas.

Just click here to get signed and qualify for the free £25 bet offer:

Here are the full details:

1. £25 Free Bet*

Win/lose a total of £100 on the Exchange within your first three months of becoming a WBX Member and a £25 free bet token will automatically be credited to your WBX account.

2. Free WBX INSIGHT

New Members receive free access to daily tips and opinion from such experts as Alan Potts, Eddie Fremantle, Richard Hoiles, John Hunt and Steve Smith Eccles.

*The following Terms and Conditions apply:

This WBX Promotion is only available to new Members who are over 18 years of age. The promotion requires new Members to open a new WBX account. New Members who have earned 2.94 WBX LIFETIME POINTS on the exchange within their first three months of becoming a WBX Member will automatically receive a token for a free back bet worth £25. Following market settlement, any profit from the free bets is paid to the Member’s account. The free bet stake is retained by WBX. Each new Member can only participate in this promotion once. This promotion is only available to new Members opening a new WBX account between 16th October 2008 and 31st March 2009. This promotion ends on 31st March 2009. No further free bets will be awarded after the end date of this promotion. Your free bet tokens are valid for use for three months from date of issue. Free bet tokens that have not been matched after three months shall lapse and be of no value. WBX reserves the right to amend or withdraw this promotion at any time without notice. WBX reserves the right to withhold payment of any winnings to Members if WBX believes that the spirit of the Promotion has been violated. All decisions taken by WBX in relation to this promotion shall be considered final. WBX Members who have opted for self-exclusion are not included in this promotion.

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