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Weekend Wager Column - 19/12/2008 ************************************ I work as part of the team at the Secret Betting Club where we uncover exactly which experts, systems and tipsters you should follow to make money betting. As well as proofing dozens of tipsters we also include monthly articles on professional gambling tips and betting strategies. Every article and review we put together is also listed at our new member's website Money Maker Review. The Weekend Wager is designed to be your free guide to the forthcoming weekend's betting opportunities and features free betting advice and articles from a number of hand-picked betting experts. Keep a look out for The Weekend Wager hitting your inbox's every Friday afternoon. CONTENTS 1. Terry Says
******************************************************************************** 1. Terry Says Unless you have been hiding under a rock the past few days, it’s been hard to get away from the news about the $50 billion fraud that has caught out so many of our supposed leading institutions. This is a story that has captivated me as in some ways it tells us a lot about the best way to invest money (as well as how not to!). It’s the same when it comes to tipsters, far too often with a bit of hype or when a ‘name’ gets involved (and I’m thinking of a number of high profile ex-jockeys here) people flock to it without checking it to be kosher. It might just be down to not having the time or energy to look beyond the headlines and delve further and I am not criticizing here because I know time and resources are not always easy to come by. It is a warning though to not just follow a service or pour money into something blind and that you haven’t checked out properly just because the crowd is. It takes a few things to ensure that where you invest your money is right including… Time.. Research…Energy…Knowledge…Dedication….and the biggie MONEY! Now of course that is where we come in at the Secret Betting Club as we spend all the time, do all the research, expend all the energy, utilize the knowledge, dedicate ourselves and spend our money researching for you what to invest in when it comes to betting. Don’t be put off when I call it investing either as it doesn’t require huge swathes of knowledge. I think though it’s only fair to call it investing when members are making 30k+ per year from our work! Let me tell you as we put together our spreadsheet of performance for the 35+ services we monitor and track regularly, many of them have made awesome returns for our members. I’m not talking 1% a month either, instead try an average of between 20% and 30% return on investment long-term, which is all true and you can see with your own eyes as a member of our Secret Betting Club. Well anyway that’s my rant over with now and as there is no Weekend Wager next week I want to take this opportunity to wish you a very merry Christmas and a very prosperous and exciting 2009. (Please note there will no Weekend Wager next Friday (the 26th) but all being well I will be back on Friday 2nd January with the first email of 2009!) Terry Allen
2. The Next Week In Betting Plenty of sport to tuck into over the next 2 weeks with as usual a very full domestic football card to interest us. There is no rest for the wicked (and the obscenely rich) footballers in this country and this weekend there are some interesting contents to look into. We have had joy taking on Liverpool at home lately to good effect and they have a tricky looking away game at Arsenal this weekend where they have a shocking record. Neither team have been pulling up trees lately but the Merseysiders will try and keep things tight and hope to sneak a goal on the break if they can. I don’t foresee a lot of goals here and the 15/2 with Sporting Bet on a 0-0 outcome has the most appeal. The 2nd and final England-India test started today and it looks like it will be a very long 5 days for the English with even the woefully out of touch Rahul Dravid cashing in on the 1st day. After the pitiful bowling on the final day of the 1st test that allowed India to get a most unlikely 387 to win with consummate ease, this is a demoralized team who probably are counting down the days until they board the plane home for Christmas. Despite the strong start by India they are 3/1 on Betfair to win this game due to the concerns over the weather with only 72 overs in Day 1. I have layed the draw at 1.35 at Betfair as I believe we may yet see a result and will look to trade this out over the next few days. I feel India may only need to bat once to win this game but they will need to increase their run-rate and with Tendulkar, Laxman, Yuvraj and Dhoni to come that won’t be a problem. Over in Perth, Australia we see the home team taking on South Africa and there will be back to back tests with another due to start at Melbourne on Boxing day. Mitchell Johnson is a quick that I really rate these days and he took the top bowler price in the warm-up series against New Zealand and I expect him to continue to trouble the Proteas. Worth watching his best bowler odds for forthcoming games but after his 8 for in the first innings the bookies may now have woke up to his value.
******************************************************************************** Featuring up to date and full reviews of some of the most talked about tipping services (good and bad) 3. Tipping Legends Column Traditionally all the top National Hunt Trainers were based at Lambourn in Berkshire, and some still are, noticeably Nicky Henderson at Seven Barrows. Over the last decade this has changed somewhat and three of the top stables are now based in Somerset with Paul Nicholls, Philip Hobbs and David Pipe all having stables about 15 miles from Taunton. Visit The Tipping Legends Website Leicester gave us a winner in League One last weekend. This week we’ll drop down to League Two. I cover all matches down to the Conference and there are profits to be made in all the divisions as the bookmakers make mistakes at all levels and it is our job to capitalise on their errors. The number of winners we back is important but nowhere near as important as the odds we bet at. The golden rule of betting is to bet when the odds more than cover the risk involved and that must be our over-riding aim at all times. If our life depended on it, and we had to pick a winner this weekend, we’d probably choose Rangers to beat Hibernian. It’s priced at 1.36 (4/11). It’s extremely difficult to make significant profits at these odds simply because the odd surprise comes along and blows us out of the water. To make a long-term profit of 10% on turnover when betting at 1.36, you will have to constantly find 81 winners out of 100 bets. My database tells me that over the last 8 years there have been 380 home teams priced between 1.33 and 1.40. 269 games have been won by the home team, which is just 71%. Even though they look good they don’t win often enough to make decent profits. We have to look beyond the obvious to get ourselves significantly ahead. The consequence is that we don’t win as often, but when we do win, we make more than enough to cover the losers that come our way. This week we will take Rochdale to win at Exeter. The league table has them sitting side by side in 7th and 8th places. My ratings suggest Rochdale are quite a bit better than Exeter, and their current form is significantly better. They are expected to win around 40% of the time. At odds of 2.88 (15/8) we have the potential to make around 15% profit on turnover, providing we win 40 times in 100. Have a bet on Rochdale to beat Exeter at 2.88 (15/8) available with Totesport. Good luck with your betting. Mike Lindley (www.winabobatoo.co.uk) Interested in Winabobatoo? Well in an exclusive offer, you can save £25 on the cost of Winabobatoo membership if you are a Secret Betting Club subscriber. Visit The Winabobatoo Website
Hi everybody, Time to get back on track after a couple of frustrating rainy days and the Blue Square teams finally return to league action and I've already found some great odds, As I'm in a bit of a hurry because I want to take a closer look at another 15 matches, I'll wish you all a happy Christmas and New Year and recommend a small bet on Havant & Waterlooville who are much more dangerous in Cup matches than in Blue Square South this season. 20/12/2008 BLUE SQUARE SOUTH HAVANT & WATERLOOVILE – St Albans 1 (2.50 @Bet365) 3 units St Albans had a great run in October and November, but now they have two consecutive defeats in the league and that FA Trophy match vs Stevenage last Saturday (the plan was to see how good they really are) turned out to be a disaster (1:4). Thurlbourne suffered a bad injury in that match and is definitely out, Clarke is awaiting surgery, their strikers are struggling at the moment and I simply have to take these odds on a home win – Havant are much better than their current form or position on the league table. They're still struggling in the league, but they're bound to win a match soon (and this is a perfect opportunity/opponent), a new Cup win (3:1 vs Bury in the FA Trophy) must've affected their confidence and they have a bunch of players returning from their injuries (Martin, Butters, Elphick, Booth, Gray). Watkins scored a hat-trick last Saturday, their experienced defenders should take care of St Albans' out-of-form strikers and they have plenty of players who can make a difference in a match like this. It's all about the odds really and Havant should be bigger favorites against St Albans at this particular moment in time. It was 1:1 at St Albans on the opening day of the season btw, but Havant won their home match last season – it was 3:1 for Havant and I expect a similar result, maybe a bit less goals. (2.68 currently at Betfair btw, 2.50 also at Blue Square, Bwin, Paddy Power, Victor Chandler, 2.45 at Sportingbet...)
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