************************************
THE WEEKEND WAGER
************************************

Welcome to this the latest 'Weekend Wager' free betting column produced by Mike Bishop from the Secret Betting Club and Money Maker Review service.
I work as part of the team at the Secret Betting Club where we uncover exactly which experts, systems and tipsters you should follow to make money betting. As well as proofing dozens of tipsters we also include monthly articles on professional gambling tips and betting strategies. Every article and review we put together is also listed at our new member's website Money Maker Review.

********************************************************************************
START MAKING MONEY BETTING
View the many benefits of being a Secret Betting Club member:
http://www.secretbettingclub.com/benefits.html
Join today risk free with our 100% money back offer, you have nothing to lose and the world of profitable betting to gain!
********************************************************************************

1. Mike Says
Gambling as we all know is becoming more and more popular these days but even I was surprised to read that Brazilian supermodel Gisele had apparently banked over $1 million betting on Inter Milan this year. Apparently she has a soft spot for the ‘special one’, which no doubt has only increased on the back of these winnings. Read more here.

Even the world footballer over the year, Cristiano Ronaldo spent his weekend betting up to £1000 a time in a Manchester casino the night before his side faced Everton in the FA Cup Semi-final. Despite those hefty stakes, he isn’t even the bigger gambler at his club, as Sir Alex must take that award following on from his risky team selection on Sunday that did for United’s chances of a quintuplet this year.

Thankfully here at the Secret Betting Club, we are a bit more advanced in our betting than simply backing Inter Milan blindly or splurging a grand a time on a roulette table! Next Thursday sees the release of our latest newsletter, which will feature a number of key strategic articles on increasing your betting profits output.

We have the latest offering from our professional sports trader who has a fantastic article on how to trade on cricket as well as a look at an excellent golf betting strategy from a pro punter member. Add to this our reviews of the Golden Key & Prize Lays systems, a look at the Steve Lewis Hamilton & Karl Dennis Raceline tipster services as well as an exclusive review of a football tipster who costs just a tenner a month and is worth his weight in gold.

It promises to be a real bumper newsletter and there has never been a better time to get involved.
P.S. Thanks this week also must go to Skeeve who this week has posted his last column for the football season. His weekend wager advice has been outstanding, making 42 pts profit from the 23 bets he has supplied. His own private advisory service has had a very strong season and if interested in his betting advice, you can sign up to be on his membership waiting list for next year.

Mike Bishop
Follow me on Twitter

2. The Next Week In Betting
Premiership football will dominate again this weekend with a real crunch time for those involved at the top and bottom. Liverpool have been going goal crazy lately at both ends and travel to freefalling Hull, where they are best priced 2/5 with Ladbrokes to take all 3 points. That looks no value to me and considering that Hulls defence has more holes in it than a Labour budget, I prefer the over 2.5 goals market on offer at 10/11 with Skybet. According to the excellent Simple Soccer Stats website, Hull concede an average of 1.875 goals at Home and Liverpool score an average of 1.75 goals away from home. Sods law dictates it will probably end goalless, but I really cant see Hull keeping a clean sheet here.

Elsewhere I don’t understand why Newcastle (11/10 with Boylesports) are almost the same price to win this weekend as Everton (10/11 with VCbet). Both teams play at home, but the Geordies have only won 4 games at home this season, contrasted to Everton who have picked up 7 home victories and are in great form. Considering the Toffees face Man City who are shocking away from home and the pressure that will be on Alan Shearer’s men to win on Monday night, I know where the value lies here!

F1 moves over to Bahrain and we have one of the most unpredictable and exciting competitions lined up this year after the stunning performance by the Red Bull team in Shanghai last weekend. I would be tempted to look beyond Red Bull as they seem to strongly favour the wet conditions, which is unlikely to happen in Bahrain considering the race takes place in the middle of the desert!  Jenson Button is still the strong race favourite at 7/4 with Bet365 but there are a whole host of tasty big prices on offer elsewhere. Cases can be made for both the Toyota cars with Trulli & Glock best priced 14/1 and 25/1 with Sportingbet and William Hill respectively and the old man Rubens Barrichello at 7/1 with Hills shouldn’t be ignored.

Elsewhere this week we also have the 2nd week of the World Snooker Championships over at the Crucible in Sheffield and the London Marathon on Sunday, both of which will be live on TV to add interest to any bets you maybe having.

Good luck with whatever you’re having a punt on this week.

********************************************************************************
THE ULTIMATE LISTING OF EVERY TIPSTER AND SERVICE

Money Maker Review features comprehensive reviews and analysis of some of the most talked about tipping services (both good and bad).
Before you signup for any tipster or purchase any system, read our 100% independent and unbiased reviews!
Latest reviews include: Stats The Winner, Stats The Loser, ProForm Systems, Each Way Pays, Best Under, Dodgy Favourites, Bet To Lose, Peter Naughton, Invest On Golf & U Win U Pay

http://www.moneymakerreview.com
********************************************************************************
3. Tipping Legends Column

The Tipping Legends are 2 horse racing specialists who both have an in-depth knowledge of the sport and will be supplying a full rundown of some of the weekend's feature races and betting angles. These guys know their stuff when it comes to racing, ignore at your peril.
 
This weekend sees the effective end of the jumps season with the Whitbread or the Bet365 Gold Cup as it’s now known. A 3 miles 5f race, run over Sandown’s testing circuit, it requires a certain type of hose or trainer to be able to run to a high level at this stage of the season. Punters obviously find this a tricky race to fathom with only 3 winners in single figures in the last 10 years!

Certain trainers do specialise in keeping their faster ground, quality horses ticking over. Phillip Hobbs has a very good recent record with 2 wins and another falling when going well. Paul Nicholls horses are always worth respecting at this time of year. Stamina also appears to be key with all bar Martin Pipe’s winners (he always skews the trends) showing good form over long trips.

Being a handicap and being over a long distance a light weight is sure to help and this is borne out by the fact only 2 horses have carried more than 11 stone to victory. Saying that we want a quality animal so those from out of the handicap (plenty this year) may struggle to keep tabs on the better horses.

In short we want a good quality horse, with a decent weight that stays over 3 miles at least and hails from one of the bigger stables. The problem with this scenario is that the bigger stables often have their horses near the head of the handicap and those near the foot are not good enough to prevail. However there are often good horses that basically need good spring ground to shine and have seen their marks come down or for those of a younger age who have yet to fulfil their full potential.

This years entries at the time of writing, have only 3 over 11 stone and one of those - Gone to Lunch had a very hard race last time out. Of the other 20, half are out of the handicap so the shortlist is reduced very quickly (those out of the handicap could still win but with a couple of exceptions most are exposed and in theory not good enough). Out of the 10 remaining, 2 Nicholls horses and 1 Hobbs horse spring to mind, especially as Hoola balloo & Lacdoudal have come 3rd and won this race in the past 2 years but somehow both are carrying 11 lb's & 12 lb's respectively lower than their good runs here.

Of the other 8 - New little bric has yet to win beyond 2 miles 5f, Kilbeggan Blade is best with cut in the ground, Golden Flight has shown no worthwhile form in the UK, Eric’s Charm was pulled up this Thursday, Laskari is another without a win further than 2 miles 5f, Oscar Park has one PU this year and Church Island had a very hard race in the Irish national. This leaves only Always Waining to join the 2 principals as it loves top of the ground, looks to stay, is in form and is a true Spring/Summer horse.

A field of 23 has been whittled down to 3. No guarantee that the winner will come from this select band but it shows how quickly you can focus the selection process. After watching all the great NH racing this year it will be  a bit strange seeing a bunch of skinny 2 yr olds hurtle around Musselburgh - but that's the beauty of British racing.

Visit The Tipping Legends Website
Read our review of the Tipping Legends service 


4. The Winabobatoo Weekender

Winabobatoo are English Premier League, Football League and Scottish Premier betting experts. Using their own excellent football system to often 'Win a bob or two' for their members, they are sharing one of their 'star' bets every week with us. Star bets are their best rated, best value bets and worth following in with a few bob of your own.

It can get a bit trickier to find value bets at this time of year, as the bookmakers tend to shorten the prices of teams who “must win” to a level where there is little potential for profit.

In the aways sector, the 5 shortest-priced games are Wycombe at 8/11 (1.73), Stevenage 4/6 (1.67), Peterborough 8/13 (1.62), Chelsea 8/11 (1.73), and Liverpool 2/5 (1.40). Three winners from the 5 matches would return between 4.69 and 5.13 points to one point level stakes bets, so in reality we would need 4 out of the 5 to win to make a profit. Whilst it is a possibility, I don’t think that finding 80% winners is sustainable in the long run, so I prefer to look to games at bigger odds, where being right less often still allows us to make profits.

Newcastle are in need of points in the Premiership and the bookmakers have priced them up at even money to beat Portsmouth on Monday night. To make 10% profit on turnover at even money, we would have to expect Newcastle win this match 55 times out of 100. I think that is a tall order. Based on my ratings, I reckon their chance is between 40% and 45% - take 43% as the midpoint. There’s around a 28% chance the game will be a draw, which means that Portsmouth will win around 29% of the time.

Portsmouth are the better team and I prefer to back the better teams, even if they are conceding home advantage. A 29% chance equates to odds of 2.45 to 1 (just short of 5/2), or 3.45 in decimals. They can be backed at 3/1 (4.00) with Bet365. If the assessment is correct and Portsmouth win 29 times in 100, we would get 116 points (29 times 4.00) back for every 100 staked, and make a profit of 16% on turnover in the long run.

The bets advised to my members over the last two seasons, priced at evens or bigger, have produced a profit of 128 points, from one point single win bets, from 680 matches, which is over 18% profit on turnover, and they were based on similar assessments to the one shown above.

The win percentage of all those evens and above bets is 43.97%. The downside to betting at longer odds is that you don’t win as often, but the key isn’t how often you win, it is whether the odds on offer exceed the risk, as that is what results in making a profit in the long-term.

Some compromise on the strike rate of winners is necessary if you want to make profits in excess of 10% on your turnover, as you will find it hard to make 10% profit if you bet odds on. In general, I would recommend that you try to find winners at evens and better.

Have a bet on Portsmouth to beat Newcastle at 3/1 (4.00) with Bet365.
Good luck with your betting.
Mike Lindley (www.winabobatoo.co.uk )
Visit The Winabobatoo Website
Read our review of the Winabobatoo service 

********************************************************************************
PROOFING TABLES FOR TIPSTER SERVICES
Our FREE Racing Proofing website, lists 29 of the best tipster services ranked in a league table format.
Every bet is listed and analysed in 3 months, 6 months, 12 months, proofed and all time rankings
Updated regularly, visit today to see the latest figures, and just who is in-form.
http://www.racingproofing.com
********************************************************************************

5. Skeeve's Non-League

Skeeve is our resident Non-League betting expert who will be sharing with you his best advice for this weekend's domestic non-league card. What Skeeve doesn't know about all things semi-pro aint worth knowing and the bookies hate it as lets face it they know next-to nothing about football at this level.

That's it ladies and gentlemen, it's the final weekend of the regular season – and boy was it an exciting season. As far as my results are concerned, I didn't have the best start this season (in fact it was absolutely terrible), but as I'm growing older (still in my twenties though! Not for much longer, but still!) I'm also getting smarter and I've decided to make some adjustments (much less midweek picks, no more Step 3 bets) in January – and it proved to be one of my best (if not THE best) betting decisions ever. I've made +163 units profit (41.4% RoI) in 2009 so far and we still have play-offs to try and make the most of.

As far as these free picks are concerned, you're welcome – we've made +42 units profit (41.1% RoI) after only 23 picks and although our last bet was lost (just for the record, the weekend was profitable nevertheless), these stats say it all:

FREE	PICKS	STAKED	RETURNED	W-V-L	PROFIT	ROI
	23	102	144.02	16-2-5	+42.02	141.1%

I finally got back to my old blog btw and I've compiled a post called 'The best bets of the 08/09 season', you can check it out here: http://okruglalopta.blog.hr/. We're definitely going to have a few more long-term bets – in fact my clients and me took one before the Tuesday matches and the odds have fallen from 5.50 to 3.75 in the meantime.

I still haven't sent any weekend picks to my clients. This is going to be a very tricky weekend, plenty of potential banana skins and questionable motivations (not to mention that the odds compilers have been extremely careful this time - probably for the first time this season). The final day of the 07/08 season was a losing day at Skeeve Picks and I tend to learn from my mistakes. Sometimes it's definitely best to skip a day that seems extremely tricky, it would be stupid to risk those hard-earned units on some bets you're not comfortable with. I'm too old for that!

So instead of giving you a free weekend pick, I'll copy/paste the long-term pick that I've sent to my clients just before the Tuesday matches – the odds aren't 5.50 anymore, it's 3.75 now, but I still think Stevenage are one of the biggest promotion candidates in the Blue Square Premier and if they get to the play-off final (May 17th at Wembley), they will even have the luxury of playing an FA Trophy final at the very same Wembley before that (May 9th).

The waiting list for next season will be open only until May 15th – so if you want to be on the waiting list for next season, you know what to do.

Cheers,
skeeve

LONG-TERM (sent on 21/4/2009)

BLUE SQUARE PREMIER

STEVENAGE to get promoted to League Two  (5.50 @Blue Square) 2 units

Stevenage failed to beat Torquay this weekend which means that they're still outside the play-off zone, but if they beat Kidderminster (who haven't really been great away from home lately) tonight, they'll be inside and if they beat Mansfield on Sunday, they'll have the same chance to win the play-offs as the other three teams – even a better chance than some of them if you ask me (their 2009 results against the top-five teams have been great). They have 17 wins, 4 draws (Forest Green, Histon, Oxford and Torquay) and only one defeat (away at Kidderminster) in the last 22 matches, they were 2:0 up at Kidderminster two weeks ago, but then had a played sent off and lost the match 2:4, but tonight's match will be different, Stevenage are at home and they know that they'll kick Kidderminster out of the play-off zone if they manage to beat them (I'm pretty sure that Histon are going to beat poor Weymouth and that Torquay won't lose at Barrow). Stevenage have a couple of important players returning after suspensions and injuries (Drury, Murphy, Henry and Bostwick are all back), Morison hasn't scored a single goal in April yet and when he starts scoring again he will be unstoppable and to be perfectly honest, I can see Stevenage winning both the BSP play-offs and the FA Trophy Cup, they're definitely good enough. These odds will be a lot smaller tomorrow if Stevenage win tonight (and we'll most probably hedge this bet later on if Stevenage do grab that play-off spot), but even if they don't beat Kidderminster (anything less than a draw would be a disaster from their perspective – we're only staking two units here so it won't exactly be a disaster for us), they'll still have a chance for a play-off spot (Stevenage are probably going to beat Mansfield who aren't playing good lately on Sunday and Histon, Torquay and Kidderminster all have tough matches at the same time; Torquay are playing against league leaders Burton who will need at least a point to finally grab the title, Histon are away at Crawley and Kidderminster play against on/off Kettering which won't be an easy match at all). A very nice value bet, let's see what happens next.

(5.50 also at 888sports of course, 5.00 at Skybet and also at ToteSport btw...)

Visit Skeeve's Website
Read our review of Skeeve's service 

6. £10 Exclusive free bet with Betdaq
bet72.com have secured a web exclusive offer from the purple site, BETDAQ
It is always handy to have a second betting exchange account anyway and BETDAQ is a great choice. Nice clean cut interface, good liquidity (increasing daily) plus those jolly nice purple chaps have sorted us out with a free £10 bet for all new sign ups, remember this is EXCLUSIVE to bet72.com and cannot be found anywhere else on the net.
And BETDAQ are up and running in Oddsmatcher too, they are the default betting exchange in the software now, so what are you waiting for, I’ll see you on the purple side!
*** A little tip here, try matching BETDAQ against our other supported betting exchange WBX in Oddsmatcher, it has thrown up some great match ups in odds in the past ***
Here is the link you need to use and below are the T&C’s……
BETDAQ
How to claim your £10 Free Bet
• 18 yrs and over
• Valid from 23/04/09
• Expires 03/05/09
• Customers must enter the promotional code 72com11 on registration to qualify for the offer
• Place a bet of £10 or more and we will match it with a free £10 bet
• 1st unit stake bet must be £10 or over on a selection, back or lay at odds of 2.0 or greater placed on any single sports market
• Accounts will be credited within 72 hours
• Free Bet is non-withdrawable
• Only one offer per household
• Offer applies to first time BETDAQ customers only
• Members cannot match themselves
• Void vets do not qualify for this offer
• BETDAQ affiliates, consultants, employees are ineligible to use this promotion
• BETDAQ Terms and Conditions apply
For more such offers sign-up to our regular Friday Freebie email.

*********************************************************************
The Weekend Wager is brought to you by
www.moneymakerreview.com
www.secretbettingclub.com
www.racingproofing.com