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Weekend Wager Column - 27/03/2009 ************************************ I work as part of the team at the Secret Betting Club where we uncover exactly which experts, systems and tipsters you should follow to make money betting. As well as proofing dozens of tipsters we also include monthly articles on professional gambling tips and betting strategies. Every article and review we put together is also listed at our new member's website Money Maker Review. ******************************************************************************** 1. Terry Says A lot of chat in betting circles this week about the Racing Post newspaper and the fiery resignation letter from its most senior journalist Paul Haigh (read about it here). Haigh didn’t pull any punches in his letter, as he said he had become ‘ashamed’ of writing for the paper as it is now dictated to by its main advertisers, the bookmakers. Naturally the Racing Post hit back and denied it all but chatting with my own contacts; most of us believe Haigh has a very good point. It’s high time the Racing Post got back to representing the everyday punter’s interests a bit more as without us they would be nothing after all (And indeed the decline in sales for the newspaper indicates most punters’ attitude to them nicely). Still in saying that, quite a few of my pro punter friends don’t spend much time with the Racing Post these days as there are so many other resources for helping pick out a winning angle. It’s a bit rich that even the William Hill website contains the Racing Post racing analysis (and tips!), so just goes to show how effective they think it is in taking money off them (not very). A bit more reflection from my column last week when I spoke about the understanding by those around me of how I work as a gambler. When I say I make money betting as an occupation, many people still have the thought that I sit around a smoke filled bookies, taking calls from stable contacts and various racing insiders in order to satisfy a crippling gambling addiction. Nothing of course could be further from the truth about me! (Just in case you were worried) I can’t imagine many stock market investors have the same problem with their own bank accounts, but as most of us probably know in reality betting is very similar to financial trading when you get down to it. We all know how the stock market has fared lately so give me betting any day of the week over stocks and shares. Until next Friday… Terry Allen 2. The Next Week In Betting Formula One returns with a bang this weekend down under and a lot of betting interest focused that way as the new season gets underway. It’s been a chaotic close season for the sport and we have one of the most wide open championship winner markets for a long time. Utter madness at times as the odds on Lewis Hamilton to win explains as he has gone from 7/4 to current 8/1 best price in just 6 weeks and Rubens Barrichello has gone from 150/1 into 12/1 in just a few weeks! A lot of talk has been on the new Brawn team and you can get 7/1 best price with Stan James on Jensen Button and 12/1 with Skybet on Rubens Barrichello to win outright. There are lots of specialist markets for the actual curtain raiser in Melbourne where Button (9/2 Boylesports) is narrow fave, closely followed by Barrichello (5/1 VCbet) and Raikonnen (11/2 Skybet). The 6/5 on Button to finish on the podium with Boylesports and the 11/8 for Barrichello to do the same with Betfred is my take on this race. International games dominate the football side of things with England having what will no doubt be a very uninspiring friendly against the mighty Slovakia. They are a tiny 3/10 best price with Paddy Power to win, and if your having a bet on the English to win a home friendly at that short a price, I think you need your head examined! Competitive action sees Wales at home to Finland and with the visitors a tasty 11/4 with Hills to win, they look value to me. It was only recently that Germany undeservedly got a 3-3 draw away in Helsinki after all. Other stand-outs for me include Serbia at 5/2 with Betfred away at Romania, as they are very much an up-and-coming team in world football. Any readers from North of the border can also pick up a huge 12/1 with Bet365 on Scotland to win away at Holland and while I don’t think George Burleys men will win, they appeal from an Asian Handicap point of view. More ODI action for England today with the usually shy Kevin Pietersen stating today how knackered he is playing for the Three Lions and cant wait to get home from the Caribbean (England’s attitude is nicely summed up at this humorous must-read site). Perhaps someone should remind our Kev of the weather over here in blighty, I wouldn’t mind swapping with him! He will be dragging his weary bones to face up to the West Indies in the 3rd game today, where the home team are narrow faves to win, although this will be underway by the team you read this. There is also a 20/20 international between South Africa and Australia in Joburg this afternoon although it will feature plenty of unknown names and maybe best avoiding. The bookies can’t split them either with the home team best priced evens with Paddy Power and Ponting's men best 10/11 with Boylesports. There is a 2nd 20/20 game between the two on Sunday before a full 5-game ODI tournament starts next Friday. Good luck with whatever you’re having a punt on this week. ******************************************************************************** 3. Tipping Legends Column Visit The Tipping Legends Website
4. The Winabobatoo Weekender There are no Premiership, Championship, or SPL games this weekend, so our choice of games is a little more limited, but we have all the League 1, League 2, and Conference games available. We’ve been using two of my “Betting systems,” to highlight bets in this column over the last few weeks. We’ve dipped into my “Away Form System,” and “Play Away” systems. I was going to give you an Away Form System bet today but the bookies have cut the price from 7/4 to 13/8, after my members put their money on it last night, so I’ll give you a Play Away bet where the price is available with most bookmakers. Kidderminster are vying for a play-off place in the Conference and they are travelling to York this Saturday. York aren’t out of the relegation mire yet but have a couple of games in hand on their rivals. The evidence suggests that Kidderminster should take the points home with them on enough occasions to make the price of 6/4 (2.50) worth the risk. The price is currently available with many bookmakers. Have a bet on Kidderminster to beat York at 6/4 (2.50) available with Hills, Corals, Tote, Bet 365, and others. Good luck with your betting. Mike Lindley (www.winabobatoo.co.uk ) Visit The Winabobatoo Website ********************************************************************************
Hi everybody, It had to happen eventually, our last weekend's bet lost (Dorchester failed to turn up), but these stats still look very good indeed:
I'll have a couple of improvised draw-no-bets this weekend and, of course, I'll share one of these with all of you. It's going to be my 20th free pick for this column and I'd like it to be another winning bet. The membership and the waiting list are both closed for the rest of the season. Everyone who ends the season as a Skeeve Picks subscriber will be offered a spot for next season and if someone drops out, I'll contact the first guy on the waiting list for next season. If you want to be on the waiting list for next season, feel free to send me an e-mail. cheers, Skeeve 28/3/2009 BLUE SQUARE NORTH AD-HOC DRAW-NO-BET: Hucknall – BLYTH 2 (2.30 @Bwin) 3.5 units & X (3.60 @Bet365) 1.5 unit Blyth lost their away match at Stalybridge this Tuesday (0:2) and they're the worst away team in the league (only one win so far, that's why this is an improvised draw-no-bet – but, it's fair to say that they're much better on the road since they've won at King's Lynn two months ago; they did lose by one goal at Hinckley and Fleetwood, but they've also shared points at Alfreton and Tamworth after that), but I still think they're way overpriced here. First of all, there's the motivation factor as they're still in the relegation zone, but with a few matches in hand. Second of all, there's the fact that they've drawn three and then won two matches before the defeat at Stalybridge (1:1 at Tamworth, 2:0 vs high-flying Telford, 2:1 vs Stafford, 0:2 at Stalybridge are their last four results) – a nice mini-run. And, the last but not least, you should know what exactly happened at Stalybridge (their reserve keeper wasn't registered as a substitute, so one of their strikers had to stand between the sticks when their no1 got injured again in the 56th minute, when it was still 0:0) – this time they'll have a proper keeper for the whole 90 minutes, Farman did very well in Bell's absence in the last few matches, but Bell could be fit too. But, this is a bet against Hucknall maybe even a bit more than it is a bet on Blyth. Hucknall are rock bottom, only 22 points, eleven less than 19th Burscough who are just above the relegation zone – they're going down alright. They're the worst home team in the league, 2-4-11, 16:31, no one conceded more than them at home and only a couple of teams scored less. They have five defeats and two away draws (they've actually picked up more points away from home this season, but it's not really a Champions League atmosphere currently at Hucknall, playing infront of only 140 people – that's how many showed up for their home match/defeat against Farsley a couple of days ago) in the last seven (0:2 at poor Hyde, 0:1 at Gateshead, 0:2 to Redditch, 0:0 at King's Lynn, 0:2 to Solihull, 2:2 at Gainsborough, 2:3 to Tamworth, 1:2 to Farsley), four consecutive home defeats – and they seem to play better against promotion candidates than against relegation candidates (in fact, if we take a look at their matches against the other biggest relegation candidates – Hyde, Blyth, Burscough, Redditch and Farsley, we can see that they've lost seven out of eight matches, twice to both awful Hyde and depleted Farsley; seven defeats and a goalless draw away at Redditch). The return of Wilson and Bacon didn't really help them at home against Farsley this Tuesday – they've gifted them two easy goals and lost the match 1:2 (some very poor defending, hesitant at 0:1 and a shot spilled by Hucknall's keeper at 1:2 – Hucknall's goal for 1:1 was very fortunate btw) – and they'll most probably be without two key players for this match, defender Sucharewycz and midfielder Liburd (both extremely doubtful). Blyth already trashed them 3:0 in August and I expect them to complete a double, but I have to improvise a draw-no-bet, Blyth's away record is terrible and if Hucknall get lucky, they could snatch a point that won't save them from relegation, but a point nevertheless. Anything above 2.10 for an away win looks good to me, but I feel I have to be careful, Blyth played three matches less than Burscough (who are just above them and just above the relegation zone) and if Burscough lose at Solihull (which I definitely can see happening) and Blyth only take a point at Hucknall, Blyth are still going to get out of the relegation zone and they'll still have three matches in hand. So, a draw wouldn't be a disaster for Blyth, that's why we're improvising a draw-no-bet – I'm pretty sure Hucknall won't win, but this way we make +3.05 units profit in case of an away win and a comforting +0.4 in case of a draw. (2.30 for an away win also at Blue Square, Paddy Power, Victor Chandler and also at Expekt and BoyleSports btw, 2.25 at Bet365, Coral, StanJames and also at BetFred and Gamebookers btw, but you can even find 2.40 at some less known bookmakers... 3.60 for a draw also at Coral, Skybet, StanJames...) Read our review of Skeeve's service
6. The easiest £7.50 you will ever make We just had this in from CORAL and believe us, this will be the easiest £7.50 you ever make. The Offer From Coral “We are offering all new and existing customers this fantastic £10 FREE BET offer on any virtual product. Whether you like betting on Horses, Dogs or simply like a flutter on Football. All you have to do is deposit and play today and you will receive a FREE £10 BET on us.” March Bonus Code: VIRTUAL Virtual Football, Virtual Horses Virtual Dogs T&C's Players, by their participation in this offer, are deemed to agree with these terms and conditions. The Strategy Despite the T&C's in testing the bonus is released after £50 in wagering so we can play 5 x £10 games and walk away with approx £7.50 profit using a very simple dutching strategy. Deposit £15 and transfer it to Games using the VIRTUAL bonus code. Confirm that the bonus is pending by clicking on the bonus link in the cashier page, that should show the virtual bonus as pending Goto Oddschecker.co.uk, select PowerTools and the Dutching Calculator, preload the total stake as £10.01 (just to ensure you only need to make 5 bets due to any rounding of the figures) Now launch Virtual Football at CORAL, wait for a new set of games to begin. Select any game and enter the odds into the calculator. It doesn't matter too much which match you choose as the cost of the dutch will be almost the same. Place the bets as directed by the dutching calculator, wait for the game to finish, refresh you balance and play again until your bonus is added, typically your final balance will be approx. £22.50. It’s important to refresh your balance in the ditching calculator after each game so you don’t make any mistakes. Leave enough time to place all the bets on each match. Withdraw your profits The Video See the strategy in action below..... The Link Naturally you will need a CORAL account to play and you can get a free £10 too, just click below to get signed up and then head over to Oddsmatcher to get you instant risk free profit on the sign up bet then you can do the Virtual offer too! Oh and it is partner friendly, what more do you want!! Here is the link: For more such offers sign-up to our regular Friday Freebie email. The Weekend Wager is brought to you by
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