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THE TIPSTERS
 

Weekend Wager Column - 28/11/2008

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THE WEEKEND WAGER
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Welcome to this the 5th 'Weekend Wager' free betting column produced by Terry Allen from the Secret Betting Club and Money Maker Review service.

I work as part of the team at the Secret Betting Club where we uncover exactly which experts, systems and tipsters you should follow to make money betting. As well as proofing dozens of tipsters we also include monthly articles on professional gambling tips and betting strategies. Every article and review we put together is also listed at our new member's website Money Maker Review.

The Weekend Wager is designed to be your free guide to the forthcoming weekend's betting opportunities and features free betting advice and articles from a number of hand-picked betting experts.

Keep a look out for The Weekend Wager hitting your inbox's every Friday afternoon.

CONTENTS

1. Terry Says
2. The Next Week In Betting
3. Tipping Legends Column
4. The Winabobatoo Weekender
5
. Skeeve's Non-League
6. £50 In Free Bets? Betaway!

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1. Terry Says

This week I have been getting my thinking cap on the idea that it doesn’t matter what you bet on as long as it makes you money. I readily admit I would bet on a Bulgarian Women’s shot-putting event if I could make a 10% edge on it as I just don’t give two hoots what sport or event it is, if it makes me cash. Recently on my travels I told someone I met about my pro betting occupation and they laughed, saying… ‘You English will bet on anything, you’re crazy’ and I had to laugh along with them as it’s so true! Tiddlywinks, one man and his dog, pie eating competitions, I would bet on it if I knew over a year I would make say 10% + return on my investment.

You see I also rarely if ever watch an event live that I have a bet on if I can help it as it does me absolutely no good. Even if its just £10 you still find yourself screaming at the TV urging your bet on, telling them how fat and lazy they are when the bet loses etc... I suppose what I want to say is, are you betting to get a rush from watching an event that can make or lose you money? Or are you doing it coldly just from the point of view of making a profit long-term. If you’re the former I would dare to suggest you may struggle!

I’m a cold hearted guy when it comes to my bets. I look at the win/loss and update my spreadsheet. Its just figures on a screen to me and that’s how I do it best. If you have a different angle do let me know I would love to hear from you.

It is worth noting today that the Auto Lays website at autolays.co.uk appears to be out of action and not before time. Here at the Secret Betting Club we have spoken widely about why you should all avoid this website and the extremely doubtful claims it has made. We believe as well that whoever is behind Auto Lays was also behind a similar website called www.125bets.com, who’s website now also has the same test page as Auto Lays. Hopefully we have seen the back of these 2 website’s for now but we must be vigilant for the next project they dream up.

Until next Friday…

Terry Allen

 

2. The Next Week In Betting

England got a lesson in Rugby last week and it doesn’t get any easier with the All Blacks in town this Saturday. It’s not a question of whether New Zealand will win but by how many with them a stupidly short 1.07 to win outright. You can pick up NZ to win with an -19 handicap for 10/11 with William Hill. If you really fancy the All Blacks to run riot you can get 6/1 on them with a -35 handicap at Ladbrokes which looks a punt to me. England were beaten by 36 last week by South Africa and the All Blacks are a better team in my opinion.

Sky Sports will no doubt be getting their knickers in a twist with Chelsea hosting Arsenal this Sunday, with the Gunners in crisis and Chelsea far from their best lately. Arsene Wenger’s men are without a host of key players and have lost their last 2 away games at Stoke and Man City. For me the 1.8 with Chelsea outright from Bet365 looks value, I make them shorter than that. There is also the small matter of the Manchester derby earlier on Sunday and I would be hopeful of seeing a few goals as Man City are setup to attack and look far from solid at the back. Over 2.5 goals is where I would look and is best priced 1.8 with Bet365.

Very sad to see the violence out in India over the past few days which has had the knock-on effect of cancelling the last 2 one-day internationals and a potential 7-0 series whitewash for the home team. My bet on Owais Shah to be top batsman came in at 9/1 as he just pipped the captain Kevin Pietersen. Shah’s innings in the last 2 games should make him very rich with a bumper IPL contract surely winging his way after the way he has performed this series. I will be keeping a keen eye on these outright markets in the Cricket, very often value can be found and there is plenty action coming up over the next few months.

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3. Tipping Legends Column

The Tipping Legends are 2 horse racing specialists who both have an in-depth knowledge of the sport and will be supplying a full rundown of some of the weekend's feature races and betting angles. These guys know their stuff when it comes to racing, ignore at your peril.
 
Today in the column we are looking at the Hennesey Gold Cup running tomorrow at Newbury.

There is no Denman running this year, and this is not a star studded field by any means. I took a look at this race over the past 10 years and the average price of winners is around 7/1 with the biggest outsider being priced at 16/1. This certainly looks a race unsuitable to big outsiders.
 
The most significant statistic I uncovered is that seven of the last 10 winners have carried 11st or less! Using this to analyse the race, this brings in to play, Oedipe, Verasi, High Chimes, Royal County Star, Character Building & Island Flyer. Taking this further and filtering using the succesful price range of between 7/1 and 16/1 this leaves us with Oedipe at 9/1, Verasi at 16/1, and Island Flyer at 7/1. Will the winner of tomorrows race come from one of these three?

Visit The Tipping Legends Website
Read our review of the Tipping Legends service 

 

4. The Winabobatoo Weekender
Winabobatoo are English Premier League, Football League and Scottish Premier betting experts. Using their own excellent football system to pretty much 'Win a bob or two' for their members, they are sharing one of their 'star' bets every week with us. Star bets are their best rated, best value bets and worth following in with a few bob of your own.

It’s a strange betting phenomenon that we have winning runs and losing runs. No matter who we are, we have them. No one is exempt and because of this, successful betting must always be viewed as a long-term business.

The tips I gave to my members made a loss of 3.14 points in September, and we were slow to get going in October, before we turned September’s loss around into a profit. In November, we’ve made a profit of 17.34 points so far – all bets are single win football bets on the home team or away team to win in 90 minutes. It would be great if we knew when the losing runs were going to happen, or when the winning runs were going to begin, but we can’t. We’d have side-stepped September if we’d known!  It’s only when we look back that we can see where they start and end. September has been the only losing month since before the start of last season, so it does have to be kept in some sort of context.

Onto this weekend: It’s FA Cup weekend again. Cup games are too tricky and unpredictable and therefore we stick to the bread and butter league fixtures.

Winabobatoo members were on Wigan to beat Everton last Monday night at 2.50 (6/4), and they obliged. They have an easier task this weekend at home to West Brom. My unique ratings have West Brom at the bottom of the Premiership pile. Wigan have a better chance on Saturday against them, than they did against Everton but the bookies know that as well! We can’t get any 2.50, and we’ll have to settle for 1.83 (5/6) on offer at Hills.

My calculations suggest Wigan will win around 6 times in 10, which means the odds of 1.83 are too long. The bookies ought to have priced it at 1.62 (8/13).

Have a bet on Wigan to beat West Brom at 1.83 (5/6) available with Hills.

Mike Lindley (www.winabobatoo.co.uk)

Interested in Winabobatoo? Well in an exclusive offer, you can save £25 on the cost of Winabobatoo membership if you are a Secret Betting Club subscriber.

Visit The Winabobatoo Website
Read our review of the Winabobatoo service 


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WHO IS THE BEST PERFORMING TIPSTER?

Visit our free Racing Proofing website that lists 30 of the best tipster services in a league table format. Every bet is listed and analysed in 3 months, 6 months, 12 months, proofed and all time rankings.

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5. Skeeve's Non-League

Skeeve is our resident Non-League betting expert who will be sharing with you his best advice for this weekend's domestic non-league card. What Skeeve doesn't know about all things semi-pro aint worth knowing and the bookies hate it as lets face it they know next-to nothing about football at this level.

Hi everybody,

Last weekend's free pick was a failure, sorry about that (five units lost there), but with all those Sunday and midweek bets I had after that bad Saturday, it seems like it was ages ago. Let's hope this is going to be another successful free pick – the value is there alright.

BLUE SQUARE SOUTH

NEWPORT – Bishop's Stortford 1  (1.83 @ Paddy Power) 6 units

(price at time Skeeve sent this to his members was 1.91 but that has been taken)

Newport have finally won two consecutive matches (1:0 at Maidenhead, 3:0 at Andover in the FA Trophy), for the first time this season, their defending is getting better and better (only one goal conceded in the last three, two consecutive clean sheets), they've just signed three very good players on loan (Cook and Turk from Salisbury, Klein-Davies from Bristol), they have a couple of players returning after injuries and suspensions and Bishop's Stortford should prove to be the easiest home match for Newport so far (they lost to Wimbledon, Havant, St Albans and Hayes at home, but they also managed to beat Bromley and Hampton). Bishop's Stortford are currently a mess, they're still without a proper manager, they scored only one goal in the last five matches (0:2 to Dorchester, 0:1 to Fisher, 1:3 to Hampton, 0:0 vs Tiverton, 0:1 at Tiverton in the FA Trophy replay this Wednesday), they're the second worst away team in BS South (a win at Bognor, a draw at ten-men Chelmsford and five defeats in seven away matches), they've picked up a couple of injuries at Tiverton and although money isn't everything, it's always important and their budget isn't what it used to be. The last three matches between these teams played at Newport were all home wins (1:0, 4:1, 1:0 last season).


Visit Skeeve's Website
Read our review of Skeeve's service 
 

6. £50 in free bets? Betaway!

Got an account at BETWAY, well you can grab another €30 (or £25) for free too, see below, nice and easy to do using Oddsmatcher!  Don’t be fooled by the title of Champions League Freebet Offer as this can be done on ANY football match before Sunday at Midnight.

If you haven’t got an account yet the you can get signed up and claim a free 50 USD/50 EUR/25 GBP bet, then go for the extra free €30 too!! 

Just make sure you sign up bet is not done on football and that would then mean you couldn’t go for the extra €30, so if you need a bet just drop us a line, info@bet72.com for some options.

Here is the link to use to get signed up with:

BETWAY
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 Champions League Freebet Offer


100% Freebet Offer up to 30 EUR

Bet on any Champions League games held on November 25/26 (or any other football odds before midnight Sunday 30) and get a fantastic 100% Freebet. For example, place a bet of 30 EUR or above and get a 30 EUR Freebet upon settlement, to use on any other football game.

Note that this offer is only valid on your ‘first’ football bet during the period (00:01 CET) Tues Nov 25 and (23:59 CET) Sun Nov 30.

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How to get your Freebet

Place a bet on any football odds at Betway.com
This includes any Champions Legaue games held on 25/26 Nov
Offer valid between (00:01 CET) Tues Nov 25 and (23:59 CET) Sun Nov 30
Get a 100% Freebet (max value 30 EUR)
So if you bet 30 EUR (or above) you get a 30 EUR Freebet
Or if you bet 10 EUR, you get a 10 EUR Freebet etc..etc..
Freebet valid for 7 days on football odds only
Freebet awarded when initial bet has been settled
» All Champions League Odds at Betway.com

Champions League Freebet Offer Rules

Offer only valid on your first football bet between (00:01 CET) Tues Nov 25 and (23:59 CET) Sun Nov 30
Freebet tokens will only be valid on any odds at Betway.com over 1.7
Maximum Freebet value is 30 EUR
Freebet tokens will be valid for 7 days
You cannot use your Freebet on the same match as your first bet
If you win on your Freebet, you only get the winnings, not the initial stake of the Freebet
Only one Freebet can be awarded per person, household
Abuse or use of this offer in a way not intended by Betway.com will lead to exclusion from the offer
Only valid if you’re 18 or above
Freebet Terms & Conditions apply

Plus

Sunday sees the closure of the free £25 bet at BETDAQ, so don’t miss out, just get signed up using the link below, drop in £25 and then drop us an email for some options or how about this one.......

Middlesbrough v Newcastle, Premiership, Saturday 3:00PM 

BACK Middlesbrough at Betfair with £25 at 2.32

LAY Middlesbrough at Betdaq with £25 at 2.34 (you will need £33.50 in your Betdaq account to cover this bet)

A 50p loss whatever the outcome but a free £25 bet which we can cash out for risk free profit,  just drop us a line once it has been
credited.

Here is the link to use to get signed up with:

BETDAQ

Remember to email them at notaxes@betdaq.com to ask for your 2% commission rate once you have opened the account

Here are the 3MAF08 Free £25 Bet T&C's for BetDaq

1.    18 yrs and over.
2.    Place a bet of £25 or more and we will match it with a free £25 bet.
3.    1st unit stake bet must be £25 or over on a selection, back or lay of Evens (2.00) or greater placed on any single sports market.
4.    Free bet will be credited when initial bet has been settled within 72 hours.
5.    Free bet is non-withdrawable and must be bet with.
6.    One free bet per household.
7.    Members cannot match themselves.
8.    Offer not open to existing members.
9.    Customers must enter the promotional code 3MAF08 on registration to qualify for the offer.
10.  Offer valid from 1st of September 2008 to the 30th November 2008.
11.  Void bets do not qualify for this offer.
12.  General BETDAQ terms and conditions apply. Betdaq affiliates, consultants, employees are ineligible to use this promotion

For more such offers sign-up to our regular Friday Freebie email.


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